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1 ENSO amplitude forecast errors are most strongly associa
2 ENSO and seasonal climate forecasts might offer the oppo
3 ENSO effects are location-specific and in southeastern U
4 ENSO exposure was based on the Multivariate ENSO Index.
5 ENSO originates in the tropical Pacific through interact
6 ENSO variability has been suggested to be linked to mill
7 ENSO was associated more with vector-borne disease [rela
9 the stratosphere, which are known to affect ENSO strength by modulating stratospheric ozone levels (
13 soon (WAM) as critical factors in amplifying ENSO's response to insolation forcing through changes in
14 e we show that El Nino--the warm phase of an ENSO cycle--effectively discharges heat into the eastern
15 e relationship between dolphin abundance and ENSO, Southern Annular Mode, austral season, rainfall, s
16 ategies quantifying both, climate change and ENSO effects on month-specific growing season climate co
18 d between tropical wetland CH4 emissions and ENSO events, which was caused by the combined time lag e
20 s zonal sea-surface temperature gradient and ENSO variability during large climate changes and provid
22 we developed a modeling framework to assess ENSO's influence on flood risk at the global scale, expr
24 trongest evidence for an association between ENSO and disease is provided by time-series analysis wit
25 dicate a strong negative correlation between ENSO variability and zonal gradient of sea-surface tempe
27 , which is the main atmospheric link between ENSO and the East Asian Monsoon system, can be explained
32 or understanding of the relationship between ENSO variability and long-term changes in Tropical Pacif
33 time series analysis support a role for both ENSO and previous disease levels in the dynamics of chol
34 region of northwest Australia is muted, but ENSO-driven changes to the monsoon may have complemented
35 phin abundance was significantly affected by ENSO, and that the magnitude of the effect was dependent
36 ern Ecuador, which is strongly influenced by ENSO variability, and covers the past 12,000 years conti
37 fter 1985, whereas variance in the canonical ENSO and Pacific Decadal Oscillation did not change.
38 r, we also find that during the 20th century ENSO has been strong compared with ENSO of previous cool
40 Globally, land NPP did not exhibit a clear ENSO response, although regional changes were substantia
44 ral-Pacific El Nino-Southern Oscillation (CP-ENSO), the rapid deepening of the Asian Low and the stre
45 und 1500-1650 CE, from a state with dampened ENSO and strong zonal gradient to one with amplified ENS
49 f increased or decreased flood hazard during ENSO events is much more complex than is often perceived
50 lower net ecosystem production (NEP) during ENSO year 1998 compared with non-ENSO year 2000 in a Cos
53 ked to a multicentury perturbation of either ENSO-like variability or the ITCZ, imply a high sensitiv
56 hat is, the NTA SST triggering the following ENSO via a subtropical teleconnection mechanism) process
59 n ocean thermal structure are precursors for ENSO events and their initial specification is essential
60 ow that climate variability, especially from ENSO, should be incorporated into disaster-risk analyses
62 monsoon, and recent changes in the historic ENSO-monsoon relationship raise the possibility that the
64 f coupled internal variability on changes in ENSO under anthropogenic global warming using the Commun
65 Our results suggest that forced changes in ENSO, whether natural or anthropogenic, may be difficult
66 lity (BJ) index analysis, enhanced errors in ENSO amplitude with forecast lead times are found to be
68 e with the effects of natural modulations in ENSO sea surface temperature (SST) metrics, as well as h
70 variability may also play an active role in ENSO evolution, and thus important in forecasting El Nin
74 , with no evidence for a systematic trend in ENSO variance, which is contrary to some models that exh
79 changes in insolation, and suggest internal ENSO dynamics as a possible cause of the millennial vari
80 t Glacial Maximum (LGM) provide insight into ENSO behavior when global boundary conditions (ice sheet
82 SST anomalies in the Eastern Pacific (a key ENSO indicator) is highest in the last quarter of the pr
84 parent mismatch in both timing and location: ENSO peaks in winter and its surface warming occurs most
86 s of this delayed ocean transport mechanism, ENSO provides an additional heat supply favourable for t
88 forcings may have dwarfed the fairly modest ENSO response to precessional insolation changes simulat
89 e aerosols from ice cores, encompassing more ENSO periods, is required to reconstruct paleo-ENSO even
93 consistencies exist between El Nino/La Nina (ENSO) cycles and precipitation in the historical record;
94 winter of 2015, there was a strong El Nino (ENSO) event, resulting in significant anomalies for mete
96 +/- 0.2 per thousand) in nonvolcanic and non-ENSO years, thus requiring a second source that may be t
97 There is also clear evidence that other non-ENSO climatic variations have a strong control on spatia
98 NEP) during ENSO year 1998 compared with non-ENSO year 2000 in a Costa Rican tropical rainforest.
99 which enables the model to capture observed ENSO statistics such as the probability density function
103 The second most predictable component of ENSO evolution, with lower prediction skill and smaller
106 however, the direct ocean thermal control of ENSO on TCs has not been taken into consideration becaus
107 ections, resulting from opposing controls of ENSO on precipitation between the Northern Hemisphere (p
110 litude may be due to the combined effects of ENSO dampening during cool glacial conditions and ENSO f
111 s caused by the combined time lag effects of ENSO events on precipitation and temperature over tropic
112 nd linear model selection showed evidence of ENSO-driven synchrony in growth among all four taxa at i
114 empts to simulate the transient evolution of ENSO have relied on simplified models or snapshot experi
115 El Nino and La Nina events, the extremes of ENSO climate variability, influence river flow and flood
117 ur study suggests that reliable forecasts of ENSO strongly rely on correctly modeling the meridional
119 ure changes in the strength and frequency of ENSO events are likely to have major consequences for bo
124 re we present a global map of the impacts of ENSO on the yields of major crops and quantify its impac
125 from 2000 to 2014 to explore the impacts of ENSO on variability of semi-arid ecosystems, using the E
127 ea coupling region will cause an increase of ENSO frequency, as the corresponding zonal advection fee
128 urface temperature (SST) anomalies (index of ENSO) and the rates of persons affected by natural disas
131 r study indicates that an intensification of ENSO will have negative effects on some mangrove forests
133 r, the coral data imply that the majority of ENSO variability over the last millennium may have arise
134 ionships with the Nino-4 index (a measure of ENSO status), with positive growth patterns occurring du
136 ending on time of year and the occurrence of ENSO events, settlement of Hawai'i and New Zealand is po
138 omponent (MSN EOF1) is the decaying phase of ENSO during the Northern Hemisphere spring, followed by
140 on surface water storage, the warm phase of ENSO preconditions the lower Mississippi River to be vul
141 equency of El Nino events, the warm phase of ENSO, was linked to North Atlantic warm or cold periods.
143 e conditions, suggesting that both phases of ENSO provide a favorable background for the occurrence o
144 ut the corals also document a broad range of ENSO behaviour that correlates poorly with these estimat
146 We analyzed fossil coral reconstructions of ENSO spanning the past 7000 years from the Northern Line
150 ulates an orbitally induced strengthening of ENSO during the Holocene epoch, which is caused by incre
154 in response to El Nino events, its effect on ENSO evolution and forecasts of ENSO has been less explo
156 rounding the impact of greenhouse warming on ENSO strength and frequency has stimulated efforts to de
157 inked to super El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (1997-1998)-induced changes in troposphere-stratos
159 e temperature, El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity, and the tropical Pacific zonal gradient
161 ability of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its coupling with the Intertropical Convergenc
162 forces of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and levels of atmospheric aerosols drive regional-
164 racts with the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Asian monsoon, and recent changes in the h
165 ip between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon (weak monsoon arisin
166 ation features-El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)-over much
169 the 1991-1992 El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) caused increased precipitation that allowed an inc
172 prevalence and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycles was examined using cross-wavelet analyses a
174 variability of El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) during the Holocene epoch, in particular on millen
176 trength during El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events can indicate future behavior under climate
177 nce the 1980s, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events have been more frequently associated with c
178 e influence of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, and "shortest-hop" trajectories, demonstra
179 ponents of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) evolution in real-time multi-model predictions are
180 application of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts, including the development of successful
181 status of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) had the highest correlation with adult growth chro
184 ility like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has proven challenging, due in part to the limited
186 regions where El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts on upwelling and nutrient availability wer
187 The role of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in greenhouse warming and climate change remains c
188 gnature of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the record, with strong ENSO influences over re
189 modes such as El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence population dynamics in many species, inc
198 ecasting using El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may assist in anticipating epidemics and targeting
199 anding how the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may change with climate is a major challenge, give
200 Although the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) often affects seasonal temperature and precipitati
201 impact of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on CH4 emissions from wetlands remains poorly quan
203 impact of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and long-term warming on regional SAT e
205 esponse of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon to forcing from explosive volcanism by
206 te change, the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon would be an important factor influencin
209 opical Pacific El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) records differ is an important piece of the puzzle
211 Today, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) system is the primary driver of interannual variab
212 suggestive of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections into North America during the late
213 esponse of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to global warming requires quantitative data on EN
215 ipitation, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation are construct
216 year after an El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), captures of P. maniculatus increased only in high
218 nt mode of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the primary driver of modern TC variability.
219 ion to El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO)--in particular, extreme El Nino and La Nina events
221 the 1997/1998 El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-the strongest on record-combined with an unprecede
232 c Index (NPI), El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)] to explain decadal-scale (1965-2008) patterns of
236 atural modulations; however, central Pacific ENSO amplitude significantly decreases, to an extent com
241 and provides a unique insight into potential ENSO evolution in the future by suggesting enhanced ENSO
242 tional nonlinearities reproduces a realistic ENSO cycle with intermittent El Nino and La Nina events
243 ironmental conditions associated with recent ENSO cycles may have influenced the patterns in disease
244 relative to preindustrial climate can reduce ENSO variability by 25%, more than twice the decrease ob
245 equatorial cold tongue, resulting in reduced ENSO variability during the LGM compared to the Late Hol
246 However, many intertwined issues regarding ENSO dynamics, impacts, forecasting, and applications re
247 opical wetlands respond strongly to repeated ENSO events, with negative anomalies occurring during El
248 historical record; for example, significant ENSO-precipitation correlations were present in only 31%
252 scillation (ENSO) in the record, with strong ENSO influences over recent decades, but weaker influenc
259 ed corals from Papua New Guinea to show that ENSO has existed for the past 130,000 years, operating e
261 ost of new paleoclimate records suggest that ENSO internal variability or other external forcings may
267 y the magnitude of changes that followed the ENSO-induced SST warming that affected the Indian Ocean
271 emissions to investigate the impacts of the ENSO on CH4 emissions in tropical wetlands for the perio
272 t activity has a direct causal effect on the ENSO variability: in particular, it intermittently trigg
274 surface salinities, which are linked to the ENSO system, influenced the annual growth of fishes, tre
275 tions show significant associations with the ENSO cycle, being highest in the post-Nino year and El N
276 t on the dynamics linking ENP TC activity to ENSO, and highlight the importance of improving CAGW rep
277 orthern Hemisphere (positively correlated to ENSO) and the Southern Hemisphere (negatively correlated
279 cy has strong interannual variability due to ENSO (El-Nino/Southern Oscillation), with more events un
281 nly driven by convective activity related to ENSO and that the barotropic nature of the subtropical i
282 emi-arid ecosystem productivity responded to ENSO in opposite ways between two hemispheres, which may
283 hat the responses of semi-arid vegetation to ENSO occur in opposite directions, resulting from opposi
287 ale of 2-8 years, which we attribute to warm ENSO events, become more frequent over the Holocene unti
289 tmospheric CO2 concentrations tend to weaken ENSO, whereas retreating glacial ice sheets intensify EN
290 c settings, including prehistoric times when ENSO and the Asian monsoon behaved differently from the
291 Walker circulation anomalies associated with ENSO events may lead to a reduced subsidence over the In
293 asters worldwide is strongly associated with ENSO; rates are greater during the first El Nino year (p
294 h century ENSO has been strong compared with ENSO of previous cool (glacial) and warm (interglacial)
295 en cholera and climate patterns coupled with ENSO forecasting could be used to notify countries in Af
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